SEC Football: Week Four "Pick Six"
Three weeks of the college football season are now behind us, which is a quarter of the year, and we're beginning to learn a few things about the SEC.
In the West, Alabama and LSU have emerged as the clear cut favorites in light of the struggles in Starkville, Auburn, and Fayetteville. In the East, we've learned that Kentucky isn't good (as expected), Vandy actually might be decent (Huh?), Mark Richt is on Yahoo Hot Jobs as we speak, and Tennessee cannot run the football.
The races are far from run, especially in the East where it appears as though the division is just as muddled as ever, and if Vandy continues to force turnovers at this alarming of a rate, even they might hang around in this thing.
Last week was a great improvement for me in my weekly "Pick Six", and I was able to hit four of those bad boys right on the money. Unfortunately, Auburn's defense has more holes in it than 50 Cent (he got shot nine times in case you hadn't heard), and somehow Verne Lundquist managed to keep the words "Tim Tebow" out of his fat old face for most of the UF/UT game.
However, I'm going to cheat and count my Verne Lundquist guarantee as a victory because he did appear as an "expert" on Tim Tebow's state of mind during CBS's broadcast of Sunday's Broncos game.
This week, I'm as cocky as ever, and as always I have six guarantees that you can pretty much set in stone.
1. Alabama guts the Hawgs by at least two scores.
Alabama opened as a 12.5 point favorite over the Arkansas Razorbacks, which is astonishing considering that both teams are ranked inside the Top 15. However, I like Bama to cover those points and then some. I'd hate to use a tacky swiss cheese comparison when referencing Arky's defense, but they were so bad against Troy I'm almost certain that they'd be delicious on a ham sandwich.
2. West Virginia scores more than 20 points against LSU's vaunted defense.
If I wanted an easy guarantee out of this game, I'd bet a considerable amount of money that 20+ Mountaineer fans are carted out of the stadium with severe alcohol poisoning, but I like to keep it interesting. LSU's defense is the real deal, but I think WVU is fully capable of nearly equaling Oregon's production, which is an accomplishment considering how stacked that Oregon offense is.
3. South Carolina rains on Vanderbilt's parade.
I'd like to say congrats to Vanderbilt on destroying Ole Miss last week. I went to the park yesterday and jacked up a seven year old so that I didn't have to take turns on the merry-go-round and I was pretty impressed with myself too. In all seriousness, if you're a Vandy fan you should be excited for the direction that James Franklin is taking your program, but the Gamecocks, despite their struggles, are well out of your league.
4. Mississippi State runs for 300+ yards against Louisiana Tech.
Dan Mullen is angry, and you're not gonna like him when he's angry, ask Memphis and Auburn. The Bulldogs figured they'd expose LSU's defense with their prolific ground game last Thursday, and the tables were turned on them. However, Dan Mullen has proven that he can beat up on inferior defenses, so I like Ballard and Relf to have ginormous days.
5. Ole Miss hangs with the Georgia Bulldogs.
The line for Ole Miss hosting Georgia opened at -6.5 in favor of UGA this week, but quickly grew to ten points in light of the Rebs' blowout loss to Vandy. I was burned earlier in the year by picking the Rebels to beat BYU at home, so I won't pick them to win outright. However, I think they bounce back and cover the ORIGINAL spread of +6.5.
6. Florida reaffirms that Kentucky is really bad at football, Kentucky fans promptly remind us how good they are at basketball.
I'm not sure what Vegas was thinking, but Florida only opened this game as 11 point favorites, however the market quickly corrected itself and the Gators are now appropriately favored by 19.5 on the road. I wouldn't pony up my own money on the Gators to cover, but they will issue a physical beat-down of the Wildcats at the very least. After the loss, Kentucky fans will quickly take to their message boards and start talking about what kind of hair product John Calipari uses.